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Japan’s bond yields are rising to levels that were unthinkable just a few years ago, and markets are starting to ask whether the next reverse carry trade is already building beneath the surface.
As the Bank of Japan slowly exits decades of ultra-loose monetary policy, higher Japanese yields could encourage investors to bring money home, reducing demand for US Treasuries and tightening global liquidity conditions. The last major reverse carry episode in August 2024 triggered a sharp selloff in global equities, with the Nikkei plunging nearly 20% and the Nasdaq dropping around 14%.
This time, the risk could become more...

Global yields are soaring as rising inflation due to oil prices force investors to rethink the outlook for central bank policy. While European central bank expectations were already pointing at the possibility of summer rate hikes, the Fed funds futures have now started pricing more than a 50% chance of a December rate hike — a stunning reversal from expectations for multiple cuts earlier this year. With equity valuations stretched and borrowing costs rising fast, a market correction looks inevitable.

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Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of...

Markets are ending the week in full euphoria mode. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit fresh record highs as investors continue piling into AI stocks despite rising inflation, surging bond yields and escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Oil prices climbed back above $100 per barrel, Japanese yields pushed far beyond levels once considered dangerous for global carry trades, and US consumers are increasingly struggling with debt repayments. Yet none of it seems capable of slowing the AI rally.
In this episode, we dive into why investors are ignoring the macro warning signs, how massive AI spending is increasingly...

As the world slowly decreases exposure to the US dollar and Treasuries, the concept of the “petro-yuan” is gaining momentum, referring to the growing use of China’s currency in oil and other goods trade.
In this episode, we dive into how to build exposure to a rising China, the challenges and the opportunities.

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Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as...

Solana is gaining steam again amongst the bigger investors, will it be back on top this summer?

00:00 Intro
00:30 Disclaimer
00:34 Preview
00:51 Bitcoin
03:44 Ethereum
05:04 Solana
06:43 Subscribe & Good bye

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US inflation came in hotter than expected, oil prices are back above $100 per barrel, global oil inventories are falling at record speed, and the Middle East war continues to threaten one of the world’s most critical oil routes: the Strait of Hormuz. Bond yields are rising again, rate cuts are fading further into the distance, and consumers are increasingly relying on debt to keep spending alive.
Yet despite all these warning signs, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq remain near record highs as dip buyers continue to rush into every pullback and AI optimism keeps fueling the rally.
But every...

Markets keep climbing despite rising oil prices, geopolitical tensions and growing inflation risks. The S&P500 and Nasdaq pushed to fresh record highs as stronger-than-expected earnings — especially from AI and energy companies — helped investors look through the Middle East turmoil and higher energy costs. But beneath the surface, the rally is becoming increasingly narrow, with tech and semiconductors doing most of the heavy lifting.
The million dollar question is: why markets continue rallying despite unideal geopolitical headlines, why emerging markets are also hitting record highs despite a rising oil and stronger US dollar, and why some investors — including...

AI investors now brush aside worsening geopolitical headlines. Despite fading peace hopes in the Middle East, rising oil prices and renewed inflation fears, tech-heavy indices trade to record highs, driven once again by semiconductor and AI-linked stocks. The divergence between tech and the rest of the market is becoming increasingly extreme, with investors seemingly willing to ignore slowing growth signals and energy-driven inflation risks as long as the AI narrative remains alive.
But with crude oil back above $100pb, inflation data due this week and valuations looking increasingly stretched, investors may be underestimating the risks building beneath the surface.
Could...

Markets are ending the week on another geopolitical twist as renewed Middle East tensions can’t come to an end!
Meanwhile, all eyes now turn to the US jobs report. While employment data remains important, investors are increasingly watching wage growth and inflation signals as central banks grow more concerned about price pressures than slowing labour markets.
Can strong jobs and softer wages keep the rally alive? Or will rising oil prices and inflation fears dominate sentiment again?

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Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque...

Markets erupted in euphoria after headlines suggested that a potential US-Iran peace proposal could help de-escalate tensions in the Middle East. Oil prices plunged from recent highs, the US dollar weakened, yields dropped and equity markets surged to fresh records, with AI and semiconductor stocks once again leading the rally.
But is the market getting ahead of itself?

Listen to find out more!

Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients....