Eyes on US data for direction
Markets are entering the final stretch of the year with investors closely watching the US for guidance. European equities remain subdued, with trade tensions and slowing growth weighing on sentiment, while rotation into cyclical sectors continues cautiously. All eyes are now on key US data: Q3 GDP revisions and PCE inflation — the Fed’s preferred gauge. Stronger-than-expected growth or rising price pressures could shake up market expectations and trigger a dollar rebound, while weaker numbers would keep the Fed on a dovish path. Positioning in stocks, FX, and bonds is increasingly delicate, making even small surprises impactful. As year-end approaches,...