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US Congress is turning blue, reshaping the outlook for technology stocks, Treasury yields and the US dollar. Democratic gains raise the prospect of greater scrutiny of AI investment, while renewable energy could benefit from stronger political support. Political gridlock may limit further fiscal expansion, offering relief to bond investors but narrowing the US growth advantage that has supported the greenback. Meanwhile, oil markets remain sensitive to developments in the Middle East, strong AMD results highlight resilient data-centre demand, more earnings are due today after the bell, but can earnings overcome concerns about spending and returns?

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Looks like there might be a crypto crisis looming ahead...

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Today, Americans head to the polls for the US midterm elections. How could the results affect oil prices?
Meanwhile, elevated energy prices keep central banks under pressure, and Big Tech’s borrowing spree could push financing costs higher. Australia has raised rates, Britain could follow, and a stronger dollar could further squeeze global oil demand. Politics, energy and borrowing costs remain intertwined.

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Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high...

Investors are rotating away from tech as strong earnings fail to ease concerns about spiralling AI spending, falling free cash flow and uncertain returns. Defensive stocks and cheaper European markets are attracting interest, but rising energy costs, borrowing costs and potential rate hikes leave few comfortable hiding places. US midterm elections add political uncertainty, with implications for the current administration’s support for AI infrastructure. Meanwhile, Apple, Palantir, AMD, Arm and Cloudflare face their next earnings test. Can fresh results restore confidence in the AI trade, or will valuation discipline and a tougher macro backdrop keep the rotation going through November?...