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Major US indices hit fresh record highs yesterday but the contrast between market prices and fundamentals is striking. Geopolitical tensions remain elevated, energy markets are volatile and macro data is starting to show strain. Yet risk assets continue to climb, driven less by the physical economy and more by narrative momentum—especially around AI and long-term productivity gains.
The growing gap raises a broader question—are markets still pricing reality, or expectations?

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Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private...

Markets are navigating a fragile calm. The Middle East ceasefire extension isn’t enough to anchor sentiment, as oil volatility persists and uncertainty around supply dynamics lingers. Yet, despite rising energy prices, the US consumer refuses to crack—fueling higher yields and pushing back rate cut expectations.
Across assets, conviction is thin: equities are mixed, the dollar is losing momentum, and investors are increasingly focused on what comes next. With earnings season kicking off, all eyes turn to Tesla—not for the numbers, but for its AI narrative and long-term growth story.
Is this just noise… or the start of something bigger?

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Oil spikes, then pulls back. Markets sell off, then bounce. Is this the same pattern all over again?
This week kicked off with renewed Middle East tensions shaking sentiment, but the real story may lie beneath the surface. Despite supply risks and ongoing disruptions, oil prices are struggling to hold their gains — pointing to something deeper: demand destruction may already be kicking in.
Meanwhile, equities — especially tech and AI names — continue to show resilience, brushing off macro uncertainty and geopolitical noise. Are investors underestimating the risks, or correctly looking through the volatility?
With key US data ahead...

Markets are walking a tightrope. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have flared up again, sending oil prices higher and raising fresh questions about global stability. Oil is up, US and European markets are pressured but Asian tech heavy indices are holding up well thanks to encouraging AI news of late.
This week, earnings season is picking up pace, with major companies about to report. Can strong results offset the pressure from higher oil and ongoing conflict?

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Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque...

For decades, the US dollar has been the undisputed anchor of the global financial system. But what happens if that dominance starts to crack — even slightly? And could the euro step in?
From the weaponisation of finance to rising US deficits and a more fragmented global trade system, the foundations of dollar dominance are being quietly challenged. Europe sees an opportunity: a stronger international euro could reduce imported inflation, lower transaction costs, deepen capital markets and increase financial autonomy.
But the path is far from simple. Without a unified fiscal system, a true safe asset comparable to US Treasuries,...

When investors talk about “the market,” they are usually referring to an index. But what exactly are stock market indices, and why have they become such a powerful tool for investors? In this episode, we break down how major benchmarks like the S&P 500, FTSE 100, DAX, and CAC 40 work. We also explore how indices reflect different economies, why diversification matters, and how investors can gain exposure through ETFs or futures. From technology-driven US markets to commodity-heavy indices, discover how tracking the right index can help shape a smarter investment strategy.

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Ipek Ozkardeskaya has...

Silver is often grouped with gold as a “precious metal” — but that label can be misleading. Unlike gold, silver is not a safe haven. It behaves more like a cyclical asset, driven by industrial demand rather than financial stress. With roughly half of global demand coming from sectors like electronics, solar panels, and electric vehicles, silver is deeply tied to economic growth and the energy transition.
That makes its price sensitive not just to macro conditions and interest rates, but also to the US dollar and broader commodity cycles. On top of that, supply dynamics are complex, as most...

In the first episode of a series focused on commodities, we dive into the world of crude oil in this special episode, break down the key factors shaping oil prices — from global supply and demand dynamics to geopolitics, US dollar moves, interest rates and economic growth. Learn how OPEC+, US shale and top consumers like China, the US, and India influence market balance and imbalances. We also explore trading strategies: spot markets, futures, equities and energy ETFs, highlighting risks, opportunities and the nuances of the market structure.

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Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career...

Bitcoin is back in the green, thanks to the ceasefire in Iran! Will it be enough for bullish momentum?

00:00 Intro
00:24 Disclaimer
00:28 Preview
00:40 Bitcoin
03:54 Ethereum
04:39 Ripple
06:24 Subscribe & Good bye

#crypto #cryptonews #cryptotrading #swissquote

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Natural gas is one of the most important — and often misunderstood — energy commodities in the world. While oil usually dominates the conversation, natural gas plays a crucial role in heating homes, fueling power plants, supporting industrial activity and acting as a bridge fuel in the global energy transition.
In this episode, we explore how natural gas markets actually work. Why are there different regional prices? Why can gas prices diverge dramatically between the US, Europe and Asia? And how do traders and investors gain exposure to natural gas through futures, ETFs, or energy companies?

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