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Big Tech's AI spending spree is facing its biggest market test yet. Alphabet's earnings showed that the real issue is no longer revenue growth—it's how much cash companies are burning to stay competitive in the AI race. With free cash flow under pressure and borrowing costs climbing, investors are starting to question whether even the world's largest technology companies can keep financing ever-bigger AI investments without weighing on valuations at a time interest rate expectations, rising government and AI dent lift long term borrowing costs.
Next week, Microsoft, Meta, Amazon and Apple report earnings, but the real focus won't be...

Reaction to Alphabet’s earnings is delivering an important message from investors: strong revenue growth is no longer enough if it comes with an even bigger AI bill. Tesla and Alphabet both posted impressive results, but their shares fell as investors focused on soaring AI spending, negative free cash flow at Alphabet and the prospect of funding future investments through debt and equity issuance. With oil prices climbing and bond yields rising, financing the AI race is becoming increasingly expensive.

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Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the...

Chip stocks bounced back as investors returned to the AI trade, but the real challenge is only just beginning. With Alphabet and Tesla kicking off Big Tech earnings season, markets are shifting their focus from AI promises to AI profits. After committing hundreds of billions of dollars to data centres, chips and AI infrastructure, investors now want evidence that these massive investments are generating returns. At the same time, rising oil prices, higher inflation expectations and climbing bond yields are increasing borrowing costs, making the AI spending boom harder to sustain. Will Big Tech reaffirm its ambitious capital expenditure plans,...

Middle East tensions are once again shaking global markets, sending oil prices and bond yields sharply higher just as investors were hoping for a calmer second half of the year. Technology stocks are attempting a rebound, but higher borrowing costs and persistent inflation risks continue to challenge valuations. Meanwhile, Big Tech faces a dilemma: keep investing aggressively in artificial intelligence to stay ahead of rapidly advancing Chinese competitors, or slow spending and risk losing its technological edge. As Alphabet prepares to update investors on its capital expenditure plans alongside its latest earnings, markets may care more about future AI spending...

China's latest AI breakthrough is sending a fresh shockwave through global markets. Chinese startup Moonshot AI unveiled Kimi K3, a model that is challenging the dominance of OpenAI and Anthropic on both performance and price, bringing the uncomfortable question of : could this be the beginning of a major repricing of the AI trade?

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Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started...

Solana with a mega partnership in Japan to bring RWAs on chain

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Chipmakers are delivering record profits, beating expectations and raising guidance—yet investors are selling first and asking questions later. TSMC's outstanding earnings failed to impress the market, Samsung, SK Hynix and Nvidia are all under pressure despite massive AI investments, telling that the next phase of the AI trade won’t be about AI demand but possible overheating, what it means for the global financial markets, in the context of tense geopolitical setup and uncertain monetary policy outlook.

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#Markets #Stocks #Investing #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #TSMC #Nvidia #Samsung #SKHynix #Alphabet #Intel #Tesla #Semiconductors #BigTech #Earnings #Oil #Geopolitics #Bonds #MarketOutlook...

We keep talking about a rotation out of technology—but is that really what's happening? While the biggest AI names, including memory chip makers, are facing profit-taking, capital isn't leaving the AI theme. Instead, it's rotating deeper into the AI ecosystem, benefiting semiconductor equipment makers, data-centre infrastructure providers, networking companies and even banks and industrials financing the AI investment boom.
Broadly, the latest US inflation data may have eased market concerns, but is softer data enough to keep mood nice and sweet when oil prices are rising into the accelerating long-term inflation trend?

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Ipek Ozkardeskaya has...

Earnings season kicked off with a bang, US big banks printed record profit. On the data front, US inflation surprised to the downside in June, giving investors a reason to celebrate as Treasury yields fell and expectations for further Fed tightening eased. But the latest inflation relief could prove short-lived as falling energy prices did most of the heavy lifting, while escalating tensions in the Middle East are already pushing oil prices higher again. On the banks front, booming profits does not tell the whole story as credit card delinquencies quietly climb to their highest level in more than a...

Oil is back in charge of global markets. A renewed surge in crude prices has reignited inflation fears, pushed global bond yields higher and weighed heavily on equities, with Korean semiconductor stocks leading the selloff before weakness spread to Europe and the US. Even strong sales numbers from TSMC failed to lift sentiment, suggesting investors may now demand earnings that beat not only official expectations but also the whisper numbers.

Attention also turns to the latest US CPI report and Kevin Warsh's testimony before Congress, as markets increasingly price the risk of another Federal Reserve rate hike. Meanwhile, the stronger...