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Markets found some relief this week, but the underlying risks are far from resolved. Nvidia revived appetite for AI and semiconductor stocks, yet massive capex requirements, financing needs and shrinking free cash flow remain important concerns. Meanwhile, oil prices eased, and global inventories are falling more slowly than JP Morgan’s earlier “no-resolution” scenario had feared. That buys the world precious time — but not necessarily enough if Middle Eastern supply disruptions persist.
Central banks are also walking a tightrope. The Bank of England overhauled its QT programme, the Fed raised rates to defend its inflation objective, and the Bank of...

The Fed delivered a widely expected 25bp rate hike, putting inflation firmly ahead of political pressure for lower interest rates. The decision triggered a hawkish market reaction, with short-term Treasury yields jumping, while the longer end and US equities showed a more contained response.
Attention now turns to the Bank of England and Bank of Japan. The BoE faces an increasingly uncomfortable mix of persistent inflation, higher energy costs, fiscal concerns and a weakening labour market, making the path ahead particularly complicated. Meanwhile, the BoJ is expected to raise rates as policymakers try to contain renewed pressure on the yen....

During the recording it was unclear, but it looks like CLARITY was just denied.

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00:25 Disclaimer
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00:44 Bitcoin
04:04 Ethereum
05:09 Solana
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Markets are heading into the Fed decision with a clear message: a 25bp rate hike may actually be the less-bad option. With Fed funds futures overwhelmingly positioned for a hike, a surprise hold could raise uncomfortable questions about inflation credibility — especially as oil prices and Treasury yields move increasingly closely together.
Broadly, the US 10-year yield has pushed above 5%, putting pressure on bonds, equity valuations and financing conditions. Yet not every company is equally vulnerable. Hyperscalers like Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta and Amazon still generate returns on invested capital well above their cost of capital, giving them a substantial...

The AI trade is entering a new phase. Until now, investors worried about valuations, circular financing, soaring capex and whether massive spending on chips and data centres would eventually generate adequate returns. Now, the debate has shifted to the speed of AI development itself. That change is already creating unexpected winners and losers, as investors reconsider who benefits if the race for ever-larger frontier models slows. The consequences could also spill into the broader economy, where AI-related investment has become an important source of growth. Add surging energy prices, persistent inflation, geopolitical uncertainty and expensive borrowing, and the timing is...

Oil prices are pushing higher as Middle East tensions intensify, while growing concerns about the pace of AI development are putting the technology trade under pressure. A potential AI slowdown also raises a bigger financial question: who pays for the massive data-centre leases, debt and power commitments accumulated during the AI boom?
Meanwhile, central banks add another layer of uncertainty. The Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan are expected to raise rates this week, increasing borrowing costs just as concerns about AI-led growth emerge. Technology-heavy markets, including the Kospi, TAIEX and Nasdaq, could remain particularly vulnerable, while higher oil prices...

Oil prices are soaring, inflation pressures are building and bond yields are flying. Brent crude hit $110 per barrel as Middle East tensions intensified, while US producer inflation accelerated to 5.4%, adding pressure on the Federal Reserve ahead of next week’s policy decision.
Across the Atlantic, the ECB delivered a widely expected 25bp rate hike as Christine Lagarde warned that energy prices are increasing upside risks to inflation. Meanwhile, Donald Trump floated the idea of $5’000 cheques for American adults – a proposal that could potentially cost more than $1 trillion – just as concerns over US debt and fiscal...

Is this another step before a leg up or an actual quantum scare?

00:00 Intro
00:27 Disclaimer
00:31 Preview
00:41 Bitcoin
03:43 Ethereum
05:40 Solana
07:07 Subscribe & Good bye

#crypto #cryptonews #cryptotrading #swissquote

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Rising oil prices continue to fuel inflation fears, pushing global bond yields higher and putting pressure on equities. Even the US Treasury’s announcement to triple the size of today’s 10- to 20-year bond buyback has failed to calm the long end of the yield curve. Scott Bessent says he is “the house now”, but markets are clearly not playing along.
And there is a delicious historical irony. Back in 1992, Bessent was on the other side of the table, working with George Soros as markets forced Britain out of the ERM on Black Wednesday. The lesson then? Fighting fundamentals can...

Brent crude is approaching the psychological $100pb mark as geopolitical tensions and supply disruptions keep energy markets on edge. Falling global oil reserves, disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz and a potential recovery in Chinese crude demand could add further upside pressure to prices.
Higher oil and gas prices are also reviving inflation concerns, pushing bond yields higher and complicating the outlook for central banks.
Meanwhile, technology stocks continue to resist the broader risk-off mood, supported by fresh AI developments and major new partnerships. But the AI story has another side: massive capital spending, rising borrowing requirements, leveraged balance sheets...