Cautious market Rebound amid volatility in bonds, crypto

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Markets rebounded cautiously today after a volatile start to the month. Japanese government bond yields surged to multi-decade highs following hints from BoJ Governor Ueda of a potential rate hike, triggering declines in equities and Bitcoin, while gold and silver advanced. The 10-year JGB auction performed well, stabilizing the bond market, while US 10-year yields remain near 4% and the USDJPY is recovering.
Bitcoin is testing key support near $83K, and US economic data indicate ongoing weakness, with factory activity and orders contracting and employment softening. Holiday retail sales rose largely due to inflation. In technology, Nvidia’s $2bn investment in Synopsys, alongside OpenAI’s Thrive Holdings initiative, suggests a developing AI ecosystem.
Investors are left to consider whether this cautious rebound can be sustained, or if further volatility lies ahead.

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Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist at Swissquote Bank. She worked as a Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020, and launched her own website ipekScope.com in 2025.