Upbeat, ignoring risks

Show notes

This week’s market dynamics highlight a striking disconnect: the S&P 500 flirts with all-time highs while underlying economic indicators signal slowing growth, job losses, and rising debt nearing $40 trillion. The US dollar tests critical technical support, Japanese yields climb toward 1.95%, and the Fed’s upcoming policy moves remain under close scrutiny. Tech and AI investments continue to mask deeper macroeconomic vulnerabilities, with AI now contributing significantly to US GDP growth.
In Asia, Moore Threads Technology stole the spotlight with a near 500% surge on its Shanghai debut, reflecting both investor enthusiasm and China’s push for a homegrown AI-GPU ecosystem. Meanwhile, crude oil remains flat despite OPEC’s supply pause, and natural gas prices rise amid global demand and energy transition considerations.

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Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist at Swissquote Bank. She worked as a Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020, and launched her own website ipekScope.com in 2025.