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The central bank doves are forcefully back following a significantly lower-than-expected US JOLTS print, and on the back of a surprisingly dovish comment from an otherwise… hawkish Isabel Schnabel from the European Central Bank (ECB).
Due today, the ADP is expected to print 130K private job additions in the US last month, and the Atlanta Fed’s GDP forecast is expected to hint at a sharp decline in Q4 growth to 1.2% from above 5% printed last quarter. If that’s the case, the Fed doves will remain in charge of the market, but the everything rally will likely turn into a…...

US yields rebounded and major indices sold off yesterday as markets have priced in a beyond-reasonable amount of rate cuts from the Federal Reserve (Fed) for next year based on a soft-landing scenario. All eyes are on the US jobs data for some comfort… that may or may not come.
Either soft data will cement the Fed rate cut bets or robust data will inject uncertainty and volatility to the market. In this context, the JOLTS data is expected to show lesser job additions in the US in October. But note that the US jobs market was impacted by strikes...

The Federal Reserve (Fed) President Jerome Powell pushed back against the rate cut bets at his speech given in Atlanta last Friday. He is of course playing the card of ‘high for long’ rates to tame inflation, yet he hinted that the Fed will probably not hike rates when it meets this month. Fed rate cut expectations went through the roof when it became clear that the Fed will stay pat again this month. The US 2-year fell to nearly 4.50% on Friday, the 10-year yield tipped a toe below the 4.20% mark. Gold spiked to $2150 per ounce this...

Here we are, saying thanks and goodbye to the excellent month of November for both bond and equity markets. US bonds rallied, and the bond yields melted starting from the end of October remember, and the melting bond yields offered to the S&P500 one of its biggest gains for a month of November.
The debate now is, will such a strong month of November spoil our Santa rally, or the US stock markets will continue to extend gains in December?
Good news is, inflation falls on both sides of the Atlantic, and energy prices look much less threatening given that...

Traders always tell you to buy the rumour and sell the news, but what about the bitcoin ETF? Does the same thing apply? Let's find out in today's episode!

00:00 Intro
00:23 Preview
00:41 Bitcoin
05:20 Ethereum
07:41 Aave
09:09 Subscribe & Good bye

#crypto #cryptonews #cryptotrading #swissquote

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Learn the fundamentals of trading at your own pace with Swissquote's Education Center. Discover our online courses, webinars and eBooks: https://swq.ch/wr
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Discover our brand and philosophy: https://swq.ch/wq
Learn more about our employees: https://swq.ch/d5
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Let's stay connected:
LinkedIn: https://swq.ch/cH

The rally in US bonds continued at full speed yesterday and bonds are set to record their best month since the GFC this November. Although the US Q3 GDP was revised to an eye-popping 5.2% from an already high 4.9% printed earlier, investors focused on the Atlanta Fed’s GDP Now forecast which is now pointing at a sharp decline in the US GDP growth in the current quarter to around 2%. Note that a 2% growth in the US is still above average and shouldn’t be enough to convince the Fed to start cutting the rates too early if the...

The US bonds extended their rally as one of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) most hawkish members, Christopher Waller, said in a speech named ‘Something appears to be giving’ that he is ‘increasingly confident that policy is currently well positioned to slow the economy and get inflation back to 2%’.
The US yields tumbled, gold rallied past the $2050 level, the EURUSD traded above the 1.10 psychological level, Cable surpasssed 1.27, and the USDJPY tipped a toe below the 147 level and below its 100-DMA.
Note that we have a few technical levels across currencies and commodities that are being tested...

Monday morning’s rebound in US bond yields didn’t last long; the US sovereign bond yields fell as rapidly as they rose on Monday as a $55bn auction of 5-year US bonds saw strong demand after a weak sale of 2-year bond. The US dollar index extended losses and gold gained.
Crude oil however remained under selling pressure on uncertainty regarding whether Saudi could or could not come out with an impactful supply cut decision this week. Note that a deeper fall in oil prices could support a further bond rally, and a further USD depreciation.
Oil companies are also feeling...

Last week ended on a positive note where the US equities advanced to fresh highs since summer on a holiday shortened trading week. The S&P500 gained for the 4th consecutive week and closed the week near 4560, the rate-sensitive and technology heavy Nasdaq 100 extended gains beyond the summer peak, and hit an almost 2-year high, while the VIX index, which is known as Wall Street’s fear gauge, or the volatility index, slumped to the lowest levels since January 2020. The belief that the Federal Reserve (Fed) is done hiking the interest rates, and the rapidly falling US long-term yields...

Binance and its founder/CEO got a mega fine from the Department of Justice, crypto's biggest company might signify the end of a wild crypto era. What will happen to the prices?

00:00 Intro
00:17 Preview
00:30 Binance
06:27 Bitcoin
07:51 Ethereum
09:02 Subscribe & Good bye

#crypto #cryptonews #cryptotrading #swissquote

_____
Learn the fundamentals of trading at your own pace with Swissquote's Education Center. Discover our online courses, webinars and eBooks: https://swq.ch/wr
_____
Discover our brand and philosophy: https://swq.ch/wq
Learn more about our employees: https://swq.ch/d5
_____
Let's stay connected:
LinkedIn: https://swq.ch/cH