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Chinese authorities think that the country could achieve its 5% growth target with the stimulus measures that have already been announced, but investors not much so. Chinese stocks are further sold off, while bleeding in energy and commodities slow down.
Elsewhere, the major US indices move independently from the Chinese news, the US dollar is flat into today’s FOMC minutes and tomorrow’s CPI update. The EURUSD is also waiting impatiently near a major Fibonacci level before taking a fresh direction. Either the Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut bets will ease and the US dollar will further rebound and step into...

The week started on an ugly note except for those who have a long exposure to energy related assets. The crumbling dovish Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations at the wake of a blowout jobs report from the US, the lack of further stimulus measures from China and the mounting geopolitical tensions in the Middle East give investors a hard time at the start of this week.
US yields and the US dollar are up, major counterparts are down, oil swings between gains and losses, copper and iron ore futures are heavily sold. The VIX index is rising
Listen to find out...

Surprise! The US economy added more than 250’000 new nonfarm jobs last month, the unemployment rate fell to 4.1% and wages grew faster than expected both on monthly and on a yearly basis. On a yearly basis, the US workers earned 4% more on average compared to a year ago. On top, the strikes at the US ports were paused until mid January and the goods are being moved until further notice.
The US treasuries got heavily sold off on Friday, the US dollar jumped, the EURUSD slipped below 1.10, Cable fell to 1.3070 and the USDJPY rallied past the...

Global headlines were shaken yesterday by the news that Israel is considering striking Iran’s oil facilities, and that Joe Biden may let Israel do it. Oil surged.
Even though the rising oil prices should not last long (hopefully), they may have an impact on the short and medium-run inflation outlook. That, combined with strikes in US East and Gulf coasts are inflationary. The spike in energy prices and supply chain disruptions were the main responsible for the soaring global inflation after the 2020s. Of course, today’s situation is not comparable to the pandemic period, but could – maybe - get...

The geopolitical situation in the Middle East gets tenser, and the Federal Reserve (Fed) doves get worried with the sight of better-than-expected jolts and ADP report announced earlier in the week. The US yields and the dollar extended recovery, stocks stagnated.
The broadly stronger US dollar, combined with a slide in the euro area inflation below the European Central Bank’s (ECB) 2% inflation target justifies a further selloff in the EURUSD, while the USDJPY sharply reversed course after the new Japanese PM said that the Japanese economy is ‘not ready yet for further rate hikes’.
In energy, crude oil failed...

After a strong September, everyone wonders whether Bitcoin can keep up the good performance for October. So Uptober or Downtober for crypto and co?

00:00 Intro
00:25 Preview
00:40 Bitcoin
04:10 Ethereum
07:16 Solana
10:19 Subscribe & Good bye

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Risk off reins.
First, the US east and gulf ports went on a strike on Tuesday, as expected. It will cause supply disruptions and increase the price pressures before November presidential elections.
Then, the geopolitical tensions in the Middle East intensified after Iran has reportedly fired about 200 missiles on Israel as response to Israeli attacks on Hezbollah in Lebanon. Israel said it will retaliate. The involvement of Iran could in fact lead to a wider and a more serious conflict across the region, and threaten oil supply. This is why, the barrel of US crude gained more than 3.50%...

The Chinese stocks extended gains on Monday as China announced more stimulus measures and investors rushed to buy before the markets closed for national holiday today. The CSI 300 index jumped more than 8% on Monday and was up by a whopping 26% in six sessions. But the S&P500 gained barely 1% over the same period. Maybe, Powell gets worried that the Chinese measures would boost inflation, along with the potential price risks from the US port strikes due to begin today? Whatever it is, the Federal Reserve (Fed) doves were on the retreat yesterday, the euro doves gained field....

The week kicked off with another bull run in Chinese stocks on further stimulus news. The Chinese stocks extended their rally, iron ore gained, the AUDUSD, preparing to test the 0.70 cents level as Australian stocks extend rally to fresh ATH.
Over in Europe, growth and China-sensitive European stocks are also having their share of the Chinese pie. The Stoxx 600 index closed the week at an ATH. LVMH gained 20% in just a week.
In separate news, inflation data from France and Spain came in lower than expected. More figures are to flow in between today and tomorrow to...

The S&P500 printed its 42nd record high this year yesterday on the back of a mix bag of economic and corporate news.
Due today, the Fed’s favourite gauge of inflation, the core PCE index, will determine whether the soft landing dreamers will carry the US stock rally to fresh record levels.
Elsewhere, the mix of Chinese monetary and fiscal stimulus measures continue to boost Chinese and China-related stocks. LVMH jumped 10% yesterday.
Crude oil remains under pressure on reports that Saudi Arabia will drop its price target and focus on expanding its market share.
And finally, in Europe, the soft...