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The new week starts on relief that the US will exempt electronics – most of which are made in China – from headline tariffs. Futures are hinting at strong gains across the US and European indices. Hon Hai – a major Apple supplier jump opened in Asia, but is giving back gains since then as Donald Trump said Sunday that the tech sector won’t be exempt from tariffs, they will be in a different tariff bucket. Prepare for another week of hectic headlines, uncertainty and high volatility – and thinning holiday volumes into the Easter break won’t help in terms...

The red line was the sovereign bond markets. It was the flash selloff in US Treasuries over the past few days that finally made Donald Trump take a step back from his tariff strategy. Equities rebound by big chunks, treasury yields are down, the US dollar and oil recover but I wouldn’t pop the champagne just yet. We’ve already seen how the uncertainty alone has hit businesses.
Delta Airlines lowered its earnings guidance, citing global trade tensions. Amazon cancelled orders for China-sourced products to cut exposure to Chinese supply and let’s not forget: China remains a critical market for companies...

Hopes of seeing Donald Trump roll back tariffs before they go live were dashed this morning—along with sentiment across global financial markets.
The Nikkei is down more than 2%, a Bloomberg index tracking Asian currencies fell to a record low, and European and US futures hint at another very, very ugly trading session, with losses between 2–4% at the time of writing. I won’t say much about yesterday’s rebound: moves of that magnitude – above 2–3% – aren’t sustainable unless there’s a clear resolution to the tariff problem.
China, on the other hand, is seeing limited losses across the CSI...

The entire world is holding its breath due to the tariff wars, what's Bitcoin going to do?

Recession fears are rising—but does that really mean the market is doomed? Not quite. In this episode, we explore how the central banks respond to economic and financial crisis, how financial markets overcome periods of weakness and recession, and why bad news are often perceived as good news by investors.
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Monday was rough across global financial markets. Mood is better this morning but intraday volatility is at levels not seen since the Covid-era selloff as we’re facing an avalanche of headlines: who’s ready to negotiate, who’s not, what did Trump say, what did he mean… it’s nearly impossible to predict the next move. US Senator Elizabeth Warren called it the “dumbest trade war” in history, pointing out that this turmoil isn’t caused by a virus or a housing collapse—it’s man-made and potentially fixable by simply rolling back tariffs. For now, Trump stands his ground, while world leaders oscillate between retaliation...

Last week marked the beginning of a historical market selloff. The selloff on Friday accelerated after China said that they would respond to the US tariffs with 34% tariff on American imports on their own. Europeans warned that ‘when elephants fight, grass trembles…’ to say that retaliation smells stronger than negotiation, right now. Equities and crude oil plunge, gold is also giving signs of exhaustion...
So if you’re wondering where does the capital flow? It flows to into the government bonds – the US, the German, the Japanese, the Australian yields are all down on the growing expectation that the...

Yesterday saw the worst selloff since pandemic. Equities tumbled, US dollar tanked, treasury yields melted, and crude oil dived.
The tariff chaos will likely help the euro end the week above the 1.10 mark and sterling above 1.30 against the US dollar. And gains could be sustainable as nations look willing to retaliate.
More interestingly, parallels with pandemic-era supply chain disruptions become apparent as we try to analyse the potential impact of tariffs on world economy and central bank responses. Opinions for Europe are dovish but the Fed expectations diverge.
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Trump’s tariff announcement was worse than expected. The market reaction to the tariff announcement is strongly negative. The pricing in currency markets suggests rising retaliation bets to the US tariffs. The US dollar eased to the lowest level since Trump entered the White House, the lowest levels this year and the lowest levels since mid October. The tariff announcement sent Cable directly up above the 1.30 psychological mark. The EURUSD trades above the 1.09 level while the USDJPY tanked to 147.
Inside equities, the afterhours trading looked like a bunch of US companies announced disappointing earnings all at once. Apple...