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Markets are starting the week with an odd sense of optimism despite another roller-coaster weekend for Middle East diplomacy. One moment the Strait of Hormuz is open, the next it's closed, then open again, as US-Iran negotiations begin while geopolitical tensions remain elevated. Yet investors continue to focus on the possibility of a breakthrough.
Oil briefly rose above $78 per barrel before retreating, while Asian equities pushed higher on strong technology appetite, a weaker yen, and renewed enthusiasm around AI and robotics.
Micron reports earnings this week. With expectations running sky-high, investors will be looking for confirmation that the memory-chip...

BTC is fighting the bears, but it seems hopeless - or is it?

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Oil prices are falling as the interim US-Iran agreement raises hopes that the worst of the Middle East disruption may be behind us. But the stronger dollar – on hawkish Fed policy - is offsetting part of the benefit from lower oil prices. Because commodities are priced in dollars, a stronger greenback makes energy and raw material imports more expensive for the rest of the world. As a result, markets are caught between relief from cheaper oil and concerns about tighter US monetary policy.

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