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Chipmakers are delivering record profits, beating expectations and raising guidance—yet investors are selling first and asking questions later. TSMC's outstanding earnings failed to impress the market, Samsung, SK Hynix and Nvidia are all under pressure despite massive AI investments, telling that the next phase of the AI trade won’t be about AI demand but possible overheating, what it means for the global financial markets, in the context of tense geopolitical setup and uncertain monetary policy outlook.

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#Markets #Stocks #Investing #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #TSMC #Nvidia #Samsung #SKHynix #Alphabet #Intel #Tesla #Semiconductors #BigTech #Earnings #Oil #Geopolitics #Bonds #MarketOutlook...

We keep talking about a rotation out of technology—but is that really what's happening? While the biggest AI names, including memory chip makers, are facing profit-taking, capital isn't leaving the AI theme. Instead, it's rotating deeper into the AI ecosystem, benefiting semiconductor equipment makers, data-centre infrastructure providers, networking companies and even banks and industrials financing the AI investment boom.
Broadly, the latest US inflation data may have eased market concerns, but is softer data enough to keep mood nice and sweet when oil prices are rising into the accelerating long-term inflation trend?

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Ipek Ozkardeskaya has...

Earnings season kicked off with a bang, US big banks printed record profit. On the data front, US inflation surprised to the downside in June, giving investors a reason to celebrate as Treasury yields fell and expectations for further Fed tightening eased. But the latest inflation relief could prove short-lived as falling energy prices did most of the heavy lifting, while escalating tensions in the Middle East are already pushing oil prices higher again. On the banks front, booming profits does not tell the whole story as credit card delinquencies quietly climb to their highest level in more than a...

Oil is back in charge of global markets. A renewed surge in crude prices has reignited inflation fears, pushed global bond yields higher and weighed heavily on equities, with Korean semiconductor stocks leading the selloff before weakness spread to Europe and the US. Even strong sales numbers from TSMC failed to lift sentiment, suggesting investors may now demand earnings that beat not only official expectations but also the whisper numbers.

Attention also turns to the latest US CPI report and Kevin Warsh's testimony before Congress, as markets increasingly price the risk of another Federal Reserve rate hike. Meanwhile, the stronger...