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Record highs, unresolved risks. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 climbed to fresh records as lower oil prices and easing bond yields offered relief. But crude is rebounding, yields remain elevated, and the underlying pressures have not disappeared.
Yesterday’s US three-year Treasury auction cleared at its highest yield since 2006, with indirect participation below average. Today’s 10-year auction will test whether higher yields can attract investors willing to commit for longer despite inflation, fiscal and interest-rate risks.
Meanwhile, recovering Gulf exports and emergency reserve releases ease immediate supply concerns, but depleted inventories and unresolved tensions leave oil vulnerable to renewed...

US stocks are hovering near record highs, even as Treasury yields climb to levels last seen more than two decades ago. Strong AI demand is keeping growth expectations upbeat—but how much more pressure can technology stocks absorb?
Meanwhile, a Tokyo-based fund’s exit from French government bonds highlights another potential risk: Japanese investors bringing money home. With domestic yields becoming more attractive, repatriation could support the yen, reinforce a carry trade unwind and reduce demand for overseas bonds, and eventually risk assets.

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Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk...

After a short crisis, NEAR is getting back up on its feet!

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Is Europe heading towards another debt crisis? France’s borrowing premium over Germany has surged to levels last seen during the 2011–2012 crisis, while the euro is falling as investors question the country’s fiscal outlook.
The bigger risk is contagion. Other eurozone yield spreads are widening, although they remain far below crisis levels. This week’s government debt auctions will test whether investor appetite remains healthy outside France or whether the nervousness is spreading.

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Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at...