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Rising oil prices are once again fueling global inflation fears and pushing bond yields sharply higher, challenging policymakers and investors alike. Global trade tensions are also deepening, and China found itself increasingly isolated at the latest G20 meeting, as concerns over its export-led growth model, industrial subsidies and excess capacity gained broader international support.
In fact, Shein’s unimpressive Hong Kong debut is part of the same story. The changing global trade landscape is putting pressure on the business models of Shein, PDD and Alibaba, while potentially leaving developed economies to deal with deeper cost of living crisis.

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September kicks off on a bearish note as rising oil prices revive inflation concerns, push global bond yields higher and weigh on equity valuations. But markets enter the month with an important cushion: exceptionally strong Q2 earnings on both sides of the Atlantic.
The key question is whether strong earnings can continue to offset rising borrowing costs. European equities still offer a relatively comfortable earnings-yield premium over sovereign bonds, but the picture is tighter in the US, where the S&P 500 earnings yield is now below the US 30-year Treasury yield.
Meanwhile, investors are watching inflation data, increasingly uncomfortable central...

Markets are kicking off the week under pressure as renewed Middle East tensions push oil prices higher, while hawkish central bank expectations add another layer of uncertainty.
Kevin Warsh’s much-awaited Jackson Hole speech boosted expectations of a September Fed rate hike, sending the US dollar and short-term yields higher and weighing on equity appetite. In Europe, accelerating inflation and renewed pressure on energy prices are strengthening expectations that the ECB will continue tightening policy.
Attention now turns to this week’s US jobs data for clues on whether the labour market remains resilient enough to support the Fed hawks. Meanwhile, earnings...