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Is Europe heading towards another debt crisis? France’s borrowing premium over Germany has surged to levels last seen during the 2011–2012 crisis, while the euro is falling as investors question the country’s fiscal outlook.
The bigger risk is contagion. Other eurozone yield spreads are widening, although they remain far below crisis levels. This week’s government debt auctions will test whether investor appetite remains healthy outside France or whether the nervousness is spreading.

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Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at...

US Treasury yields finally eased, yet the dollar gained sharply as investors looked for shelter on rising concerns about European sovereign debt. France’s widening yield spread over Germany raises uncomfortable questions about fiscal sustainability, political uncertainty and the cost of financing its debt.
Higher yields do not automatically make French bonds a bargain: they may simply compensate investors for greater risk. Is France the new Greece? The comparison has limits, but the confidence spiral is familiar. And the implications extend beyond bonds, weighing on the euro and European equities while potentially supporting US assets.
Later today, US payrolls remain a...

Stronger growth, stronger jobs and softer inflation: US data delivered a Goldilocks combination, but investors struggled to celebrate. Treasury yields climbed, with the US 10-year reaching 5.30%, weighing on the S&P 500 while the Nasdaq 100 held positive.
Can AI earnings keep offsetting the pressure from rising yields? Micron delivered another strong earnings beat and upbeat revenue guidance, while HPE raised its networking growth outlook and announced a $1.2bn order from Vultr. Meanwhile, an FTC investigation into OpenAI and Anthropic adds another risk to the AI story.
Across Europe, accelerating inflation strengthens expectations of further ECB tightening, yet the euro...