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Global markets have entered the second half of the year with remarkable momentum despite months of geopolitical tensions, an energy shock and rising bond yields. AI remains the dominant investment theme, with semiconductor stocks continuing to lead the rally while Big Tech faces growing scrutiny over the returns on massive AI spending.
Falling oil prices are helping ease inflation fears just as Fed Chair Kevin Warsh reinforces the Federal Reserve's renewed focus on price stability. Higher yields could challenge equity valuations, but strong earnings expectations and abundant liquidity continue to support risk appetite.
Meanwhile, the US dollar is regaining strength...

BTC can barely hold 60k USD, is 50k next?

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Global stock markets have just wrapped up their strongest quarter in six years, but is the AI rally beginning to lose its foundations? While Nvidia, Micron and other chipmakers continue to surge, the companies funding the AI revolution are coming under growing pressure. Microsoft, Google, Meta and Amazon are all facing investor scrutiny over massive AI spending, rising borrowing costs and uncertain returns. If hyperscalers eventually slow their investment, can semiconductor stocks continue climbing on their own?

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Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque...

Markets are starting the week on a surprisingly calm footing despite another round of US-Iran attacks over the weekend. Oil prices remain remarkably contained, with strategic reserve releases and continued flows through the Strait of Hormuz helping contain fears of a major supply disruption. But while geopolitics has temporarily taken a back seat, investors are increasingly focusing on a different source of risk: the ongoing rotation out of technology stocks.
This week's key catalysts will be the US jobs report and Kevin Warsh's speech in Sintra, which could reinforce the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance and provide fresh support to the...