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Markets are buzzing after fresh US data paved the way for next week’s Federal Reserve (Fed) cut. CPI was broadly in line, but soaring jobless claims – the highest in four years – kept the weakening labour market in the spotlight. The Fed is almost certain to deliver a 25bp cut, with odds of larger move fading, however, as inflation pressures in food and energy still linger. Equities cheered the prospect of easier policy, sending the S&P 500 to new highs, the US dollar index remained offered into the 50-DMA.
Across the Atlantic, the European Central Bank (ECB) held rates...

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Markets remain in a bullish mood after the latest US PPI report signaled easing price pressures in August. Yields slipped, the S&P 500 hit new highs, and AI stocks stole the spotlight — Oracle soared on a massive OpenAI deal, Nvidia gained on strong TSMC sales, while CoreWeave rallied nearly 17%. But not every tech name is thriving: Synopsys plunged, reminding investors that trade war risks are far from gone.
Now, all eyes turn to today’s US CPI release. A softer print could revive talk of a jumbo Fed cut, while stronger numbers may reinforce a slower pace of easing....

US jobs are worse than they seem, and the Federal Reserve (Fed) may have already fallen behind the curve. But will this trigger bigger or faster rate cuts? It depends on inflation. US August PPI is out today, and tomorrow we get CPI – the numbers will set the tone for US rates, the dollar and equities.
Elsewhere, tech stocks are in focus with Apple slipping post-iPhone reveal and Nebius jumping 50% on a $17.4B Microsoft AI deal. CoreWeave, Nvidia, Broadcom and Oracle also see big moves. Meanwhile, French markets shrug off another PM change, but bond spreads and Fitch’s...