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SpaceX has surged to a valuation above $2.6 trillion, making it one of the most valuable companies in the world despite reporting losses and offering no clear profit outlook for this year. The rally is reigniting the bubble debate and raising questions about how far investors are willing to stretch valuations in the search for the next big thing.
At the same time, new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh faces his first major policy test. Inflation remains above 4%, the labour market remains relatively resilient, and markets have gone from pricing multiple rate cuts this year to considering the possibility of...

Oil prices are falling, bond yields are easing and investors are rotating back into risk assets – including SpaceX. But beneath the optimism, a new question is emerging: what exactly is – and will be - inside your index?
SpaceX's surge to a $2.5 trillion valuation has reignited the debate around speculation, passive investing and index concentration. If included in the Nasdaq 100 today, the company could become one of the index's largest constituents despite ongoing cash burn and a valuation that many argue is disconnected from fundamentals.
So, before buying the cookie, it may be worth checking the ingredients....

Could the 40th peace announcement finally be the one that sticks?
Markets are certainly acting as if it might. Reports that the US and Iran have reached an agreement to end the conflict and reopen the Strait of Hormuz sent oil prices sharply lower and boosted risk appetite across global markets. Lower energy prices could ease inflation pressures, soften central bank rhetoric, and provide fresh support for equities.
Today, we look at the potential market implications of a lasting Middle East peace deal, what falling oil prices mean for inflation, the key central bank meetings this week including the Fed,...

It’s SpaceX Day.
Today marks the stock market debut of SpaceX in what has become the largest IPO in history, giving the company a valuation approaching $1.8 trillion and potentially making Elon Musk the world’s first trillionaire.
But while investors watch a rocket leave the launchpad, markets back on Earth remain hostage to Middle East headlines. Oil prices continue to swing on every comment regarding Iran, the Strait of Hormuz and the prospects for a lasting ceasefire, while investors insist to price optimism before it becomes reality.

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Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in...