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With the US on holiday, market activity has slowed, leaving investors to digest a strong month of earnings. The S&P 500 delivered 13.4% growth, led by healthcare, financials, consumer discretionary, and technology. Big Tech, including Nvidia, posted better-than-expected results, but concerns over cash flow, inventories and AI deal circularity weighed on sentiment.
The Fed’s recent dovish signals helped stabilize markets, pushing rate-cut expectations higher and supporting a tech-led rally. European and Asian markets have been mostly quiet, with mixed results in tech and limited upside.
Uncertainty remains high around AI valuations, Fed policy and global macro conditions. A Santa rally...

Markets remained calm ahead of Thanksgiving, with US equities extending gains and yields continuing to decline. The 2-year Treasury yield, which reflects expectations for December Fed policy, fell to 3.45%, pricing in a 25bp rate cut with more than 80% probability. Adding to dovish sentiment, Kevin Hassett has emerged as a potential next Fed Chair. Known for his pro-deregulation stance and crypto-friendly approach, Hassett could steer the Fed toward lower rates and a lighter regulatory touch, with markets expecting 2–4 additional cuts in 2026 following the anticipated December move.

However, lower Fed rates do not guarantee lower market yields. If...

The AI battlefield heats up: Google storms back with Gemini 3 and TPUs, challenging Nvidia’s dominance as inference costs soar and Big Tech looks for cheaper, faster alternatives. Nvidia faces scrutiny over its latest earnings and growing inventories, while Meta’s AI investments raise questions about its business model. Alibaba surprises with strong cloud growth, and Amazon could benefit from robotics in the future.
On the macro side, soft US data keeps Fed doves in control, boosting rate cut expectations, while the US dollar weakens and EURUSD breaks out of consolidation. Across the pond, all eyes are on Rachel Reeves’ Autumn...

Sharp mood swings are not a good sign | MarketTalk: What’s up today?
Markets are on edge as December Fed rate-cut expectations climb past 80%, and every word from the central bank now moves markets. Short-term yields are jittery, risk assets are swinging, and investors are balancing hope with caution. The backdrop is anything but simple: a softening jobs market, inflation still above target, and lingering uncertainty from tariffs. Data is slowly returning after the long government shutdown, but it only paints part of the picture — what the Fed signals could matter more than what the numbers show. Traders...