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The first view on Big Tech earnings wasn’t inspiring. Tesla’s earnings missed estimates for the 4th consecutive quarter as revenue from car sales declined 7%. Shares slashed almost 8% in the afterhours trading. Over at Google, the parent Alphabet reported the smallest earnings beat since early 2023 and the share price fell 2% in the afterhours trading.
As such, two of the Magnificent 7 stocks failed to create euphoria when they reported their Q2 results yesterday. The S&P500 and Nasdaq both closed yesterday’s session with small losses, and the futures are both in the negative this morning.
In Europe, the...

Week started on a bullish note in Europe and the US as Jow Biden’s decision to leave the presidential race didn’t impact the market mood. Major US and European indices rebounded, mega cap led gains and the US dollar weakened.
Tesla and Google are due to report earnings today after the bell, and their results – or the reaction to their results – could shift the wind in either direction.
In energy, US crude slipped below the $80pb psychological and Fibonacci support and tipped a toe below the 200-DMA despite a surprise People’s Bank of China (PBoC) rate cut, the...

Joe Biden threw in the towel and announced that he quits the presidential race this weekend. The early polls show that Harris is a favourite to become the new Democrat nominee, but that Donald Trump is still expected to win the November’s presidential election. The Trump trade could lose some steam but will probably not get reversed if Harris doesn't make a material difference in the polls quickly.
The latter expectation was reflected with a brief post-announcement selloff and a rebound in Bitcoin. The US dollar is slightly softer across the board. Stock futures in Europe and the US are...

TSM announced better-than-expected quarterly results and lifted its growth projections for this year’s revenue. Good news helped limiting the previous day selloff in chip stocks yesterday but couldn’t prevent the S&P500 and Nasdaq 100 from closing Thursday’s session with losses. Week brings a lot of questions regarding the remaining potential of the AI rally…
In politics, Biden is under an unbearable pressure to leave the presidential race because he is too old. Many Democratic heavy weights are now turning their back against the President. Even Barrack Obama said he should consider stepping down. And there are rumours that he could...

While everyone is speculating on how the ongoing international trade war could worsen if Donald Trump returns to the White House, it was Joe Biden who delivered a blow to the market yesterday as his administration told allies that it’s considering severe restrictions if companies like the Japanese Tokyo Electron and Dutch ASML keep providing China the tools they need to access advanced chip technology. Chipmakers tanked and pulled major indices lower. Let’s see if earnings from Netflix and TSM could put a smile back on investors’ face and help TSM – which lost 8% yesterday – recover a part...

Has the German government completed the sell off of their Bitcoins? Can we finally return to up only? Let's see...

00:00 Intro
00:24 Preview
00:53 Bitcoin
04:22 Ethereum
05:48 Subscribe & Good bye

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The S&P500 hit a fresh record this year for the 38th time on Tuesday, banks rallied on earnings which showed that the big banks’ trading revenue jumped nearly 20% in Q2 and investment banking revenues rose significantly on increased dealmaking. The technology-heavy Nasdaq 100 lagged, with smaller gains. The Russell 2000 rallied another 3.5%, on the other hand, hinting at a developing sector rotation from Big Tech to others. Gold gained, oil fell, and the US dollar is under pressure, as the EURUSD drills above the 1.09 mark and Cable tests the 1.30 offers after a set of stronger-than-expected inflation...

The market uncertainties loom as different trades – Trump trade, reflation trade, China trade and AI trade – have diverging impact across regions and sectors.
On the data front, investors will focus on Canadian inflation print and the US retail sales, and UK inflation and jobs data later this week. Retail sales in the US are expected to have fallen 0.2% in June. Such weakness would back the Fed’s easing inflation story and further reinforce the expectation of a September Fed cut. We could then see the US dollar index make a decisive move below a major Fibonacci support and...

Donald Trump got this close to being assassinated this weekend while he was giving a speech in an election rally. The tragic event boosted the chances that Trump will win the presidential election in November. Bitcoin rallied, gold remains surprisingly unreactive as the US dollar gained and futures point to gains at the open as investors will increasingly focus on earnings. Besides big banks, Netflix and TSM are due to release earnings this week.
In the FX, the euro is set to extend gains against the USD ahead of Thursday’s European Central Bank (ECB) meeting while Cable could see resistance...

The softer-than-expected US CPI data sent the US yields and the dollar tumbling, and most majors rallying against the greenback. The USDJPY particularly attracted attention as traders tried to understand whether the move was natural, or it was somehow exacerbated by a Bank of Japan (BoJ) intervention.
In equities, the S&P500 and Nasdaq fell sharply yesterday after the US CPI data. The sharp rise in Fed rate cut bets and falling yields looked like they didn’t give support to the major US indices, but they did. The S&P500’s equal weight index jumped 1.20%. The flight from Big Technology to other...