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The week started on a slow but hopeful note for European markets, with expectations that Trump’s latest 50% tariff threat on European imports would accelerate negotiations but that market optimism fascinates me. European markets are flirting with ATH levels, US futures were also up yesterday—but the reality is that with every piece of incoming information, the collective welfare deteriorates. Still, moving forward, fresh deals between the US and major trade partners could further boost market sentiment and send indices on both sides of the Atlantic to fresh ATH levels—but whether that optimism lasts is yet to be seen. The economic...

Trade headlines are accelerating again. Markets ended last week on a sour note after President Donald Trump threatened to impose a 50% tariff on European imports by June 1st, prompting a sharp selloff in major US and European indices. He also warned that Apple could face a 25% tariff unless it relocates its production to the US. Yet, sentiment has shifted sharply this morning. The Nikkei 225 rose more than 1.7%, buoyed by hopes that the US and Japan are progressing toward a trade deal. European and US futures rebounded on news that the 50% EU tariff threat will be...

The selloff in US equities eased yesterday as pressure in the bond space declined. But the news is far from reassuring for a sustainable relief: US politicians continue to turn a blind eye to the stress building in the sovereign bond space. The House of Representatives passed Trump’s ‘beautiful’ tax bill yesterday—with just one vote. But one vote is all it takes to send the bill to the Senate, which is narrowly controlled by the same Republicans who proposed it. As such, US yields have eased slightly but the crisis is far from over. The US dollar was better bid...

Bitcoin just cracked its ATH, let's go!

00:00 Intro
00:23 Disclaimer
00:27 Preview
00:47 Coinbase
02:26 Bitcoin
06:44 Ripple
10:20 Subscribe & Good bye

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It’s Thursday, and so far this week, US debt concerns have overshadowed Middle East optimism, trade tensions, and even a fresh all-time high for Bitcoin. The turning point was last Friday’s credit outlook downgrade by Moody’s, which was quickly followed by a political debate around the budget. In this episode we will dive into the guts of the US debt market, why US could afford to push its debt exponentially higher, why it could no longer do so, and what are the risks and alternatives.
In the markets, the surge in yields weighed heavily on equities. The S&P 500 dropped...

US equities retreated yesterday—ending a six-day rally—and the US dollar weakened as the selloff in long-term US Treasuries continued. Crude oil jumped on reports that Israel is preparing to strike Iranian nuclear facilities. Safe haven assets surged, while the US dollar was left behind in the safe-haven race. Option traders remain pessimistic about the dollar’s prospects for 2025. The one-year risk reversals—a gauge that reflects whether investors are hedging more with calls or puts—have dropped to the most negative level on record, according to Bloomberg. Listen to find out more!

The People’s Bank of China (PBoC) and the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) lowered their interest rates today, hoping to tame and counter the negative impact of the global trade war on their economies and job markets. The moves were expected and received mixed reactions across stock markets.
The CSI 300 index and the Hang Seng gained, the latter was boosted by CATL’s IPO, which went according to plan and led to a 14% surge in its Hong Kong debut. Meanwhile, the ASX gave back earlier gains as trade headlines are turning sour.
In Europe, the EU and the UK...

The week starts with a jump in US yields and a weaker dollar after Moody’s downgraded the US credit rating from the top Aaa to Aa1, citing concerns about the US’ rapidly rising debt toward the $37 trillion mark. The Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent downplayed the downgrade and attempted to shift attention to the sharp tariff hikes that may be announced in the next two to three weeks.
This means that the market optimism seen just a week ago — following an agreement between the US and China to talk while lowering tariffs during a 90-day window — is losing...

Market sentiment remained tilted toward the upside across the US and European markets yesterday. In Europe, UK growth and eurozone industrial production surprised to the upside, while in the US, the data pointed at economic slowdown but sharp decline in producer prices tempered stagflation worries... but Walmart killed joy saying that they will increase the prices of their products according to tariffs.
As such, uncertainties persist, the US dollar index remains under pressure, and the dollar’s weakness and majors recover early-week losses.
In China, Alibaba’s profit missed estimates and led to a 7.5% selloff in the company’s shares yesterday but...

The news of fresh deals is coming in from the Middle East as Donald Trump seems very successful in getting the oil- and gas-rich countries to buy stuff from the US – including chips and planes – but appetite for trade optimism is starting to show signs of exhaustion. Despite the announcement of a $243bn deal with Qatar on top of the $600bn deal with Saudi Arabia, the S&P500 traded flat on Wednesday.
In China, Tencent announced slightly better-than-expected revenue in Q1. Its net profit grew 82% compared to the same period last year – but still fell short of...