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Canada joined the global political gloom. The sudden resignation of the finance minister on Monday started raising questions about Trudeau’s leadership as politicians there try to find ways to deal with economic slowdown topped by Trump’s tariff threats. A bit lower on the map, Brazil intervened to stop the bleeding of the real after the currency tanked more than 20% against the greenback to an all-time-low this year. Ballooning debt and deficit are taking a toll on the country’s finances. In France, the National Assembly just adopted a stopgap budget bill to avoid a government shutdown from January, while Germany...

‘Europe appears to be coming apart one nation at a time’, writes Bloomberg to summarize the complicated politics of the old continent. After the French snap election led to a divided government and an ungovernable France since summer, German politicians gave a no-confidence verdict for the three-way ruling party of Germany, paving the way for an early election in February – about 7 months earlier than scheduled. The DAX index retreated yesterday, but from near an ATH level. The political shenanigans didn’t prevent the index from rallying above the 20’000 this month. Its technology heavy weights, like SAP and Siemens,...

China’s latest efforts to convince investors that it will boost its economy with great stimulus measures had the same reaction than the previous ones: disappointment. The Chinese yields nosedive but the shares don’t react. Except one bright spot: Xiaomi.
Elsewhere, in Korea, the political turmoil continues to weigh on sentiment, while in France, the relief on the appointment of Francois Bayrou – another very established name in French politics – to replace Barnier as the new French PM was clouded by Moody’s downgrading the French credit rating to Aa3 – three levels below the top. Nearby, German politicians will hold...

This week has been rich in terms of interest rate cuts from major central banks. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) didn’t cut its rates but gave an unexpectedly dovish statement, citing that the RBA officials are turning more confident that inflation is on path toward their policy goal. The Bank of Canada (BoC) delivered a second 50bp cut in a row, following three 25bp cuts before that. Then, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) delivered a 50bp cut – it was not the base case scenario but it was not a surprise, either. The European Central Bank (ECB) also cut,...

The probability of a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut in December jumped to nearly 100% yesterday, after the US CPI update came in line with expectations. Major indices rally with joy. Technology stocks led gains, but enthusiasm was not only backed by the Fed cut expectations. It was also backed by tech related news. Google for example jumped nearly 5.5% to a record high on news that the company made a ‘major development’ in quantum computing using its Willow quantum chip while Broadcom – that’s due to announce earnings today - flirted with ATH yesterday on news that they are...

How scary is quantum computing for Bitcoin really? Will we still knock over the 100k barrier?

00:00 Intro
00:22 Preview
00:29 Bitcoin
04:53 Ethereum
08:01 Solana
08:50 Subscribe & Good bye

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In today’s special episode of Market Talk, we’re diving deep into one of the most fascinating tools in technical analysis: the Fibonacci retracement. Learn how this popular indicator helps identify key support and resistance levels, spot potential trend reversals, and guide your trading strategy with confidence.
We’ll also explore the golden ratio’s surprising connections to nature and why its popularity makes it a go-to tool for traders worldwide. Using practical examples like EURUSD and oil, I’ll show you how to apply Fibonacci levels effectively—whether you’re a day trader or focusing on medium-term trends.
Listen to find out more!

Sentiment in Chinese equities reversed suddenly to a significantly more bullish state after the Politburo – which is the highest-decision making bodies within the Communist Party – pledged to embrace a ‘moderately loose’ monetary policy in 2025. Now, all eyes are on the Central Economic Work Conference, where the Chinese officials will discuss behind closed doors and ideally complement the monetary support with juicy fiscal support. It’s tempting to buy Chinese assets at significant discount, but don’t forget that 2024 was marked by stimulus hints that led to a market rally, but resulted in disappointing stimulus measures and a selloff....

Bashar al-Assad's regime fell over the weekend, Korean lawmakers prepare another impeachment attempt against their President who narrowly avoided removal after briefly imposing martial law last week, and France remains without a new presidential nominee.
As such, the US dollar is stronger on safety demand and crude oil is better bid on renewed political uncertainty in the Middle East. But the Syrian news will unlikely reverse the bearish oil trend, and the rising dovish Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations are fundamentally supportive of a softer US dollar.
This week’s US CPI data will be the last piece of the puzzle before...

Against all odds, yesterday ended up being a good day – at least for investors who have exposure to the French assets. The French government fell and the political uncertainty shifted to a higher gear yet, the French 10-year yield eased, the euro gained, and the CAC 40 hasn’t had such a good week since September.
The US dollar index came swiftly down yesterday on the back of a higher-than-expected jobless claims number last week. Today, the official jobs data is expected to print a strong NFP number – of around 200K new nonfarm job additions for November. But investors...