US indices can’t keep rising regardless of unideal macro setup!

Show notes

Volatility is back, and markets are reacting in unexpected ways. Oil and gas prices surged on Middle East tensions, European stocks tanked, and yields jumped — yet US equities barely flinched. Big Tech gained regardless of the war headlines.
What’s driving the US resilience? Dip buyers stepped in as oil retraced, showing that even war headlines and fading Fed cut expectations weren’t enough to shake investor confidence… for now.
But the risks remain. Rising energy prices, tighter financial conditions, and geopolitical uncertainty could hit corporate earnings and slow AI investment plans. Bitcoin rebounded despite risk appetite fading, gold remained muted, and the dollar keeps strengthening.

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Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist at Swissquote Bank. She worked as a Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020, and launched her own website ipekScope.com in 2025.