Trade deals could be the market’s next sugar fix

Show notes

The month of June is approaching its end with US equities having rebounded to their all-time high levels, fully brushing off the trade-war-led selloff between February and April this year.
The rally looks stretched considering the US debt risks, high valuations, trade uncertainties and hardly funded dovish Federal Reserve (Fed) bets. But stretched doesn’t mean it won’t continue. If investors are fed a steady diet of sugar, asset prices could keep inflating. And Trump may eventually give them what they want. The US and China have apparently reached a trade truce, the US administration said that 10 more deals could be imminent, and EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said she’s ready to negotiate when the US is — in an effort to reach an agreement before the July deadline. Meanwhile, US bank investors are cheering news of softer regulation on leverage rules this week, which could free up to $6 trillion in additional balance sheet capacity.
As such, futures are in the green and the US dollar rebounds from 3-year lows.
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