All eyes on the 2nd round of trade talks between US and China!
Show notes
Last week ended on a positive note. Improved headlines on the trade front between the US and China and a set of better-than-expected US jobs data helped lift the S&P 500 by 1.5% over the week. The Nasdaq 100 rallied 2% despite a sharp selloff in Tesla shares amid a heated dispute between Donald Trump and Elon Musk. Friday’s rally was driven largely by a narrative that the US economy remains surprisingly resilient despite trade chaos and geopolitical uncertainty. But the US 2-year yield jumped past the 4% mark on Friday. Don’t bet that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will act as a catalyst for equity bulls. However, a strong auction of 30-year US bonds on Thursday could help ease concerns at the long end of the yield curve – as the 30-year yield opens the week just below the 5% psychological level.
More positive trade news could also help sentiment. US and China will hold the second round of trade negotiations this Monday in London. US crude consolidates below $65pb mark, while Chinese equities are slightly up despite soft trade and inflation data.
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