Inflation watch in the UK and the US | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote
Show notes
Sentiment was slightly better and the dollar was slightly lower on Tuesday on the back of a softer-than-expected PPI report from the US and on news that Donald Trump’s America First team would only ‘gradually’ increase tariffs on the rest of the world – if that’s any comfort.
All eyes are on the US CPI data due today. The headline inflation in the US is expected to have ticked higher from 2.7% to 2.9% in December, while core inflation is seen sticky near the 3.3% level. A higher-than-expected set of data could reverse yesterday’s selloff in the US dollar and weigh on treasuries and equities, while a softer-than-expected figure could help cooling the hawkish Fed expectations and let the US dollar give back field, and the treasuries and equities take a breather.
Elsewhere, the Eurozone countries are also releasing fresh updates to their inflation numbers today with the Eurozone aggregate figure for December due Friday, meanwhile the UK printed a set of lower-than-expected inflation figures this morning.
In energy, news that Israel and Hamas are nearing a ceasefire agreement before Trump’s inauguration helped cooling the rally but the geopolitical risks prevail.
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