US data watch: bad news is bad news | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote

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September began on an ugly note, to say the least. The bonds gained and US equities tumbled after the latest ISM data showed a fifth month of contraction in the US manufacturing, and at accelerated pace. The latter revived the recession worries ahead of this week’s critical US jobs data, and sent the S&P500 more than 2% down. This was the worst selloff since August 5, when a weak jobs data from the US had boosted the recession worries, the expectation of a 50bp cut from the Federal Reserve (Fed) and resulted in an almost 10% selloff of the S&P500. The technology stocks led losses, yesterday. Nasdaq 100 dived more than 3%, as Nvidia tumbled nearly 10% as part of the broader macroeconomic worries and suspected AI fatigue, and another 2.42% in the afterhours trading on news that the DoJ sent subpoenas to the company. Crude oil fell 5%.
All eyes are on the US jobs data – which has the potential to either make things worse or throw a floor under the recent risk selloff. Today, the job openings data is expected to show fewer job openings. On Thursday and Friday, the ADP and the official jobs data are expected to show a rebound in hiring and wages. And good news will be good news when the US reveals its latest jobs figures this week.
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